Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Coronato 45.6% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coronato 75.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 75.7%
Neutral zone
Coronato 53.8%
Result
Matt Coronato favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Larkin
Coronato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Larkin
Coronato
Last 5: Larkin 2-3 Coronato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coronato
0
2
Larkin
Coronato
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Coronato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coronato
0
1
Larkin
Coronato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Coronato
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
41.0% (122)
+11.6%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
48.6% (37)
+12.1%
On power play, Larkin has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coronato shoots right. Larkin is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (567).
Larkin shoots left. Coronato is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Larkin
Coronato
Home
54.7% (783)
41.3% (92)
Away
54.3% (816)
44.8% (67)
By Period
Larkin
Coronato
P1
55.9%
36.4%
P2
56.1%
40.5%
P3
51.1%
47.7%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Coronato
42.0%▲
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Matt Coronato |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 09:45 | Offensive | Matt Coronato |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Matt Coronato |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |