Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Coronato 42.3% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coronato 77.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 75.2%
Neutral zone
Coronato 53.4%
Result
Matt Coronato favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Larkin
Coronato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Larkin
Coronato
Last 5: Larkin 2-3 Coronato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coronato
0
2
Larkin
Coronato
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Coronato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coronato
0
1
Larkin
Coronato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Coronato
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
37.8% (259)
+13.9%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
48.5% (68)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
0.0% (1)
+50.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +50.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coronato shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Larkin shoots left. Coronato is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Larkin
Coronato
Home
54.0% (6,238)
39.8% (171)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
40.1% (157)
By Period
Larkin
Coronato
P1
52.7%
42.2%
P2
53.1%
38.0%
P3
52.1%
38.1%
OT
58.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Coronato
42.0%▲
39.5%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Matt Coronato |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 09:45 | Offensive | Matt Coronato |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Matt Coronato |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |