Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Beniers 49.2% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 57.6%
Defensive zone
Beniers 53.5%
Neutral zone
Beniers 55.2%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Larkin
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Larkin
Beniers
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
1
Larkin
Beniers
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
4
Larkin
Beniers
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Beniers
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (773)
48.8% (647)
+3.6%
Power Play
58.6% (220)
53.8% (26)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (146)
50.0% (32)
-2.7%
On power play, Larkin has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Larkin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (762).
Larkin shoots left. Beniers is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (472).
Home / Away
Larkin
Beniers
Home
51.9% (615)
52.7% (357)
Away
54.2% (524)
45.4% (348)
By Period
Larkin
Beniers
P1
52.3%
47.9%
P2
53.2%
51.9%
P3
52.6%
46.8%
OT
63.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.7%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.9%
Beniers
64.0%▲
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:24 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 06:44 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:56 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |