Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Beniers 42.9% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 91.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 91.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 90.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 91.1%
91.1%
8.9%
Larkin
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Larkin
Beniers
Last 6: Larkin 5-1 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Beniers
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Beniers
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Beniers
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
42.3% (879)
+11.3%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
40.3% (72)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
44.4% (18)
+4.3%
On power play, Larkin has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Beniers is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Home / Away
Larkin
Beniers
Home
56.6% (700)
43.8% (495)
Away
52.1% (655)
40.5% (474)
By Period
Larkin
Beniers
P1
55.4%
43.3%
P2
54.7%
45.6%
P3
52.7%
38.2%
OT
59.1%
36.4%
Final 5 min
57.0%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 03:40 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |