Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Beniers 49.4% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 65.0%
Defensive zone
Beniers 60.8%
Neutral zone
Beniers 59.6%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Larkin
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Larkin
Beniers
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
1
Larkin
Beniers
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
4
Larkin
Beniers
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Beniers
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
48.9% (833)
+2.8%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
58.3% (36)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
50.0% (32)
-1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Beniers is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Larkin
Beniers
Home
52.4% (647)
52.4% (460)
Away
52.7% (643)
46.0% (441)
By Period
Larkin
Beniers
P1
52.2%
48.4%
P2
53.1%
51.1%
P3
51.7%
47.8%
OT
61.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:24 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 06:44 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:56 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |