Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Bourque 46.7% (+7.5%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 52.2%
Defensive zone
Larkin 53.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 51.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Larkin
Bourque
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
47.0% (181)
+4.7%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
25.0% (16)
+33.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
42.9% (7)
+5.3%
On power play, Larkin has a +33.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Larkin is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Larkin shoots left. Bourque is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bourque
Home
52.4% (647)
41.9% (105)
Away
52.7% (643)
48.5% (99)
By Period
Larkin
Bourque
P1
52.2%
39.7%
P2
53.1%
39.3%
P3
51.7%
52.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Bourque
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.1%