Dylan Larkin vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Dubois 49.7% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 53.9%
Defensive zone
Dubois 53.0%
Neutral zone
Dubois 54.6%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Larkin
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Larkin
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Dubois
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
49.3% (842)
+6.6%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
57.1% (35)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
55.6% (9)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Larkin
Dubois
Home
56.0% (654)
51.0% (445)
Away
54.8% (639)
48.3% (441)
By Period
Larkin
Dubois
P1
54.4%
50.3%
P2
55.9%
49.5%
P3
55.2%
49.0%
OT
64.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.8%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 07:54 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 01:50 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |