Dylan Larkin vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Dubois 49.7% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 74.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 61.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 69.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Larkin
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Larkin
Dubois
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
2
Larkin
Dubois
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Dubois
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Dubois
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
49.8% (1,064)
+2.8%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
46.3% (67)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
53.3% (30)
+2.6%
On power play, Larkin has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Dubois is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Home / Away
Larkin
Dubois
Home
54.7% (783)
48.3% (582)
Away
54.3% (816)
51.1% (579)
By Period
Larkin
Dubois
P1
55.9%
52.0%
P2
56.1%
49.9%
P3
51.1%
46.9%
OT
66.7%
64.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 10:13 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 09:14 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 06:04 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |