Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Laughton 56.0% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 76.4%
Defensive zone
Laughton 74.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 53.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Larkin
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Larkin
Laughton
Last 6: Larkin 3-3 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Laughton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
2
Larkin
Laughton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
55.2% (455)
-3.5%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
75.0% (4)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
62.8% (137)
-14.6%
On power play, Laughton has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Laughton is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Larkin
Laughton
Home
52.4% (647)
57.4% (263)
Away
52.7% (643)
56.8% (333)
By Period
Larkin
Laughton
P1
52.2%
55.3%
P2
53.1%
61.4%
P3
51.7%
53.5%
OT
61.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 05:37 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |