Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Laughton 49.0% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laughton 68.8%
Defensive zone
Laughton 71.4%
Neutral zone
Laughton 65.4%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Larkin
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Larkin
Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
2
Larkin
Laughton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
49.1% (761)
+6.8%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
49.3% (69)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
47.6% (147)
-1.4%
On power play, Larkin has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Laughton is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Larkin
Laughton
Home
56.0% (654)
50.7% (485)
Away
54.8% (639)
47.2% (492)
By Period
Larkin
Laughton
P1
54.4%
46.5%
P2
55.9%
51.1%
P3
55.2%
49.5%
OT
64.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
53.8%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 10:13 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |