Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 13 meetings). Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Laughton 47.5% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 17-2 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 95.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 73.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 79.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 89.4%
89.4%
10.6%
Larkin
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
2
(19 meetings)
17
2
Larkin
Laughton
Last 10: Larkin 10-0 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
13
0
Larkin
Laughton
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Laughton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Laughton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
47.4% (719)
+6.2%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
50.4% (129)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
45.0% (229)
+3.7%
On power play, Larkin has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Laughton is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (694).
Home / Away
Larkin
Laughton
Home
56.6% (700)
50.2% (520)
Away
52.1% (655)
44.5% (557)
By Period
Larkin
Laughton
P1
55.4%
44.2%
P2
54.7%
49.1%
P3
52.7%
48.4%
OT
59.1%
36.8%
Final 5 min
57.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 08:30 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 18:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |