Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.9% vs Stamkos 52.0% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 51.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 70.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 58.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Larkin
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Larkin
Stamkos
Last 10: Larkin 2-8 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
Larkin
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
5
Larkin
Stamkos
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,057)
51.4% (725)
-2.9%
Power Play
61.4% (140)
53.7% (123)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (117)
61.4% (44)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Larkin is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Larkin shoots left. Stamkos is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Larkin
Stamkos
Home
51.4% (652)
53.3% (426)
Away
48.5% (662)
51.3% (466)
By Period
Larkin
Stamkos
P1
49.1%
56.6%
P2
52.0%
48.2%
P3
48.0%
52.7%
OT
52.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 14:32 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 11:37 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 18:36 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 11:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 06:55 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 02:40 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 1 | 01:06 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 04:04 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 00:36 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 01:10 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 16, 2017 | 2 | 00:21 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |