Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Larkin wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 46.2% vs Bozak 56.2% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 13-3 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 89.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 78.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 83.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
Larkin
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
13
(16 meetings)
3
13
Larkin
Bozak
Last 10: Larkin 2-8 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Larkin
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
4
Larkin
Bozak
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
7
Larkin
Bozak
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (391)
56.5% (1,119)
-11.0%
Power Play
41.4% (29)
58.4% (226)
-17.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
50.0% (20)
+0.0%
On power play, Bozak has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Larkin is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Larkin shoots left. Bozak is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (910).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bozak
Home
47.0% (181)
60.1% (682)
Away
44.2% (251)
53.2% (684)
By Period
Larkin
Bozak
P1
42.7%
57.7%
P2
52.4%
53.7%
P3
41.8%
59.0%
OT
20.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
45.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2017 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 16:49 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 3 | 08:09 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 3 | 08:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 19:22 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 1, 2017 | OT | 01:16 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 1, 2017 | 3 | 11:05 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 1, 2017 | 3 | 01:23 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 1, 2017 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 1, 2017 | 1 | 19:24 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 1, 2017 | 1 | 11:36 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 1, 2017 | 1 | 08:06 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |