Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 53.5%). Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Bozak 53.4% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 19-16 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 50.9%
Defensive zone
Bozak 51.0%
Neutral zone
Bozak 51.0%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Larkin
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
19
(35 meetings)
16
19
Larkin
Bozak
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Larkin
Bozak
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
4
Larkin
Bozak
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
6
10
Larkin
Bozak
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (8,914)
53.7% (9,596)
-2.0%
Power Play
58.5% (2,099)
55.2% (1,990)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.1% (1,102)
48.0% (1,094)
+2.1%
On power play, Larkin has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,342).
Larkin shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bozak
Home
54.0% (6,206)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
51.4% (5,909)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Larkin
Bozak
P1
52.7%
53.2%
P2
53.1%
52.8%
P3
52.1%
54.5%
OT
58.6%
52.9%
Final 5 min
53.3%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 15:59 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 13:14 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 09:47 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 08:02 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 09:17 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 2 | 14:28 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 18:07 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 3 | 07:59 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 18, 2017 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |