Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Bozak 46.2% (+7.1%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 68.3%
Defensive zone
Bozak 65.3%
Neutral zone
Bozak 50.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Larkin
Bozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
46.7% (338)
+5.1%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
50.0% (6)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
32.6% (43)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bozak
Home
55.6% (662)
47.9% (194)
Away
48.3% (542)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Larkin
Bozak
P1
49.9%
40.2%
P2
52.7%
51.4%
P3
53.0%
43.1%
OT
68.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%