Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.3%). Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.9% vs Malkin 49.4% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 52.0%
Defensive zone
Strome 50.6%
Neutral zone
Strome 53.6%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Strome
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Strome
Malkin
Last 6: Strome 2-4 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Strome
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Malkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
2
Strome
Malkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (894)
49.0% (811)
-0.7%
Power Play
50.5% (182)
55.8% (43)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
50.0% (2)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Strome is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Strome shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Home / Away
Strome
Malkin
Home
46.4% (513)
52.3% (438)
Away
51.0% (569)
46.2% (418)
By Period
Strome
Malkin
P1
44.9%
51.3%
P2
50.8%
50.8%
P3
49.7%
45.0%
OT
77.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 08:05 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 01:10 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:29 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 12:22 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 07:15 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |