Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.6% vs Malkin 48.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 51.8%
Defensive zone
Strome 51.2%
Neutral zone
Strome 51.5%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Strome
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Strome
Malkin
Last 6: Strome 3-3 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Malkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
2
Strome
Malkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,002)
47.9% (776)
+2.7%
Power Play
59.9% (299)
66.7% (24)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
100.0% (1)
-42.1%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Strome is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Strome shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Strome
Malkin
Home
51.9% (700)
49.6% (405)
Away
53.9% (620)
47.5% (396)
By Period
Strome
Malkin
P1
51.6%
49.6%
P2
53.0%
47.2%
P3
54.3%
48.5%
OT
44.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.8%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 10:05 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 11:03 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:07 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |