Dylan Strome vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.6% vs Pageau 55.0% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 89.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 72.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 56.0%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Strome
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Strome
Pageau
Last 9: Strome 4-5 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Strome
Pageau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
3
Strome
Pageau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,002)
57.1% (905)
-6.5%
Power Play
59.9% (299)
55.2% (116)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
48.0% (204)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Strome is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (432).
Strome shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Strome
Pageau
Home
51.9% (700)
57.0% (618)
Away
53.9% (620)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Strome
Pageau
P1
51.6%
54.4%
P2
53.0%
61.0%
P3
54.3%
51.0%
OT
44.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.8%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 3 | 16:17 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 2 | 17:58 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 2 | 06:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 11:51 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |