Dylan Strome vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 53.4% vs Pageau 58.7% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 92.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 68.7%
Neutral zone
Strome 66.1%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Strome
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Strome
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Pageau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
3
Strome
Pageau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Strome
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (968)
59.6% (711)
-7.0%
Power Play
56.9% (311)
64.0% (114)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
56.4% (163)
+6.1%
On power play, Pageau has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Strome is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Strome shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Home / Away
Strome
Pageau
Home
53.4% (653)
59.3% (506)
Away
53.9% (634)
60.0% (482)
By Period
Strome
Pageau
P1
49.3%
56.8%
P2
54.6%
64.4%
P3
56.7%
56.9%
OT
62.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:14 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |