Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Strome wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.9% vs Carter 58.5% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 92.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 66.3%
Neutral zone
Strome 72.6%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Strome
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Strome
Carter
Last 9: Strome 3-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
0
Strome
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
6
Strome
Carter
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (894)
59.7% (727)
-11.4%
Power Play
50.5% (182)
68.1% (72)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
53.2% (139)
+13.5%
On power play, Carter has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Strome is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Strome shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Strome
Carter
Home
46.4% (513)
58.7% (455)
Away
51.0% (569)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Strome
Carter
P1
44.9%
61.3%
P2
50.8%
57.1%
P3
49.7%
59.8%
OT
77.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.6%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 07:23 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 12:14 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |