Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.6% vs Carter 60.1% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 89.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 82.6%
Neutral zone
Strome 52.0%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Strome
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Strome
Carter
Last 8: Strome 4-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
0
Strome
Carter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Strome
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Strome
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,002)
65.6% (262)
-15.0%
Power Play
59.9% (299)
68.3% (63)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
50.5% (99)
+7.4%
On even strength, Carter has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Strome is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (432).
Strome shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Strome
Carter
Home
51.9% (700)
64.3% (207)
Away
53.9% (620)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Strome
Carter
P1
51.6%
65.3%
P2
53.0%
60.1%
P3
54.3%
63.8%
OT
44.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 00:27 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 13:20 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |