Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.8%). Look for Norris on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Strome wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 53.4% vs Norris 53.4% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 86.9%
Defensive zone
Norris 82.2%
Neutral zone
Norris 52.8%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Strome
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
Strome
Norris
Last 10: Strome 5-5 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
8
0
Strome
Norris
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
10
Strome
Norris
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Norris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (968)
53.6% (560)
-1.0%
Power Play
56.9% (311)
56.0% (109)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
53.1% (98)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Strome is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Strome shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Strome
Norris
Home
53.4% (653)
53.6% (373)
Away
53.9% (634)
54.1% (394)
By Period
Strome
Norris
P1
49.3%
61.8%
P2
54.6%
51.7%
P3
56.7%
49.8%
OT
62.5%
27.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | OT | 01:26 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 01:41 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 30, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:22 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 13:46 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:39 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 14:57 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:25 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |