Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 52.1%). Look for Norris on defensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.6% vs Norris 52.1% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 20-16 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 78.9%
Defensive zone
Norris 67.5%
Neutral zone
Norris 51.1%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Strome
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
20
(36 meetings)
16
20
Strome
Norris
Last 10: Strome 5-5 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
10
1
Strome
Norris
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
13
Strome
Norris
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
5
6
Strome
Norris
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,337)
52.5% (3,057)
-2.4%
Power Play
58.4% (1,519)
53.7% (404)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
45.4% (240)
+0.2%
On power play, Strome has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Strome is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Strome shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,392).
Home / Away
Strome
Norris
Home
51.1% (3,968)
53.1% (1,856)
Away
52.2% (3,956)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Strome
Norris
P1
50.4%
55.6%
P2
52.1%
51.4%
P3
52.3%
50.1%
OT
52.8%
40.5%
Final 5 min
52.3%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 04:26 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 3, 2025 | OT | 01:26 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 01:41 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 30, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:22 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 13:46 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:39 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 14:57 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:25 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |