Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.6% vs Duchene 55.6% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 82.0%
Defensive zone
Strome 56.0%
Neutral zone
Strome 56.7%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Strome
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Strome
Duchene
Last 8: Strome 2-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Strome
Duchene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
4
Strome
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,002)
56.5% (566)
-5.9%
Power Play
59.9% (299)
61.3% (62)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
22.2% (9)
+35.7%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Strome is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Strome shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Strome
Duchene
Home
51.9% (700)
56.6% (318)
Away
53.9% (620)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Strome
Duchene
P1
51.6%
57.2%
P2
53.0%
55.1%
P3
54.3%
55.6%
OT
44.0%
81.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | OT | 03:01 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 27, 2024 | OT | 00:20 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 11:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |