Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.0% vs Duchene 51.6% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 71.1%
Defensive zone
Duchene 51.0%
Neutral zone
Strome 67.0%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Strome
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Strome
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Strome
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (856)
51.2% (324)
+5.0%
Power Play
66.4% (298)
60.4% (53)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
16.7% (6)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Strome is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (808).
Strome shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Strome
Duchene
Home
55.7% (627)
51.6% (182)
Away
62.2% (539)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Strome
Duchene
P1
61.6%
49.6%
P2
54.5%
56.2%
P3
60.4%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
58.7%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 18:40 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |