Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Barron on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Strome wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.0% vs Barron 47.1% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Barron leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 83.1%
Defensive zone
Barron 87.0%
Neutral zone
Barron 52.8%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Strome
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Strome
Barron
Last 10: Strome 5-5 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
0
Strome
Barron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
1
5
Strome
Barron
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Barron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (856)
48.8% (371)
+7.4%
Power Play
66.4% (298)
33.3% (3)
+33.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
42.0% (174)
-0.3%
On power play, Strome has a +33.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Strome is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (808).
Strome shoots left. Barron is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Strome
Barron
Home
55.7% (627)
44.9% (283)
Away
62.2% (539)
48.3% (265)
By Period
Strome
Barron
P1
61.6%
44.8%
P2
54.5%
50.7%
P3
60.4%
43.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
58.7%
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:59 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 14:44 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |