Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Barron on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.6% vs Barron 48.2% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Barron leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 80.2%
Defensive zone
Barron 87.4%
Neutral zone
Barron 56.0%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Strome
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Strome
Barron
Last 10: Strome 5-5 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
0
Strome
Barron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
1
8
Strome
Barron
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Barron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,337)
49.5% (731)
+0.6%
Power Play
58.4% (1,519)
50.0% (6)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
42.6% (209)
+3.0%
On power play, Strome has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Strome is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Strome shoots left. Barron is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
Strome
Barron
Home
51.1% (3,968)
45.5% (457)
Away
52.2% (3,956)
50.3% (489)
By Period
Strome
Barron
P1
50.4%
47.6%
P2
52.1%
51.3%
P3
52.3%
45.0%
OT
52.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:59 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 14:44 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 07:04 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 06:56 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 12:53 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |