Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.6% vs Barron 47.9% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 56.9%
Defensive zone
Barron 79.4%
Neutral zone
Barron 59.9%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Strome
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Strome
Barron
Last 5: Strome 1-4 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Barron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
3
Strome
Barron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barron
0
1
Strome
Barron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,002)
45.8% (118)
+4.8%
Power Play
59.9% (299)
100.0% (1)
-40.1%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
46.7% (15)
+11.2%
On power play, Barron has a +40.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Strome is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Strome shoots left. Barron is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Strome
Barron
Home
51.9% (700)
48.4% (64)
Away
53.9% (620)
44.3% (70)
By Period
Strome
Barron
P1
51.6%
52.1%
P2
53.0%
46.4%
P3
54.3%
37.9%
OT
44.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.8%
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 07:04 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 06:56 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 12:53 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |