Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.6% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 87.3%
Defensive zone
Strome 50.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 73.4%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Strome
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Strome
MacKinnon
Last 8: Strome 5-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
0
Strome
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
3
Strome
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,002)
45.5% (1,190)
+5.1%
Power Play
59.9% (299)
56.4% (94)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
40.0% (30)
+17.9%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Strome is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (432).
Strome shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Strome
MacKinnon
Home
51.9% (700)
47.8% (670)
Away
53.9% (620)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Strome
MacKinnon
P1
51.6%
45.3%
P2
53.0%
48.5%
P3
54.3%
45.0%
OT
44.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 18:22 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 02:47 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |