Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.0%). Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.9% vs Roy 48.3% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 80.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 78.7%
Neutral zone
Strome 50.7%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Strome
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Strome
Roy
Last 7: Strome 4-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
1
Strome
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Strome
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (894)
48.3% (633)
+0.0%
Power Play
50.5% (182)
52.1% (48)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
43.7% (87)
+23.0%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Strome is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Strome shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Strome
Roy
Home
46.4% (513)
50.8% (376)
Away
51.0% (569)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Strome
Roy
P1
44.9%
53.8%
P2
50.8%
43.5%
P3
49.7%
46.4%
OT
77.8%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:57 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 02:32 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:02 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |