Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.6% vs Roy 48.4% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 23-22 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 87.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 78.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 55.3%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Strome
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
22
(45 meetings)
23
22
Strome
Roy
Last 10: Strome 4-6 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
13
4
Strome
Roy
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
15
Strome
Roy
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
9
3
Strome
Roy
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,337)
48.7% (3,719)
+1.4%
Power Play
58.4% (1,519)
49.5% (283)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
45.5% (477)
+0.1%
On power play, Strome has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Strome is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,655).
Strome shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Strome
Roy
Home
51.1% (3,968)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
52.2% (3,956)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Strome
Roy
P1
50.4%
50.8%
P2
52.1%
46.3%
P3
52.3%
48.1%
OT
52.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:10 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:11 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:04 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:26 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 04:47 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 08:55 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 18:01 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 02:40 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 16:32 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |