Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cates on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.9% vs Cates 40.4% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 70.2%
Defensive zone
Cates 84.4%
Neutral zone
Cates 65.3%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Strome
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Strome
Cates
Last 6: Strome 2-4 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Cates
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Strome
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
1
3
Strome
Cates
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (894)
40.4% (841)
+7.9%
Power Play
50.5% (182)
42.4% (66)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
32.7% (147)
+34.0%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +34.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Strome is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Strome shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Strome
Cates
Home
46.4% (513)
38.2% (566)
Away
51.0% (569)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Strome
Cates
P1
44.9%
40.5%
P2
50.8%
42.4%
P3
49.7%
35.3%
OT
77.8%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:28 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 05:22 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 11:29 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |