Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Strome wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 53.4% vs Cates 45.1% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 95.2%
Defensive zone
Cates 68.2%
Neutral zone
Strome 64.4%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Strome
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Strome
Cates
Last 10: Strome 7-3 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
6
1
Strome
Cates
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
1
3
Strome
Cates
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Strome
Cates
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (968)
46.7% (912)
+5.9%
Power Play
56.9% (311)
33.9% (56)
+23.0%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
35.0% (137)
+27.5%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Strome is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Strome shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Strome
Cates
Home
53.4% (653)
46.1% (521)
Away
53.9% (634)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Strome
Cates
P1
49.3%
48.0%
P2
54.6%
42.3%
P3
56.7%
44.3%
OT
62.5%
31.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:23 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:19 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 06:58 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 23, 2024 | 2 | 12:04 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 04:22 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |