Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.6% vs Zacha 54.4% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 63.3%
Defensive zone
Zacha 62.1%
Neutral zone
Zacha 55.0%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Strome
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Strome
Zacha
Last 10: Strome 5-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
2
Strome
Zacha
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
2
Strome
Zacha
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Strome
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,002)
53.9% (787)
-3.3%
Power Play
59.9% (299)
63.2% (193)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
44.3% (88)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Strome is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Strome shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Strome
Zacha
Home
51.9% (700)
56.7% (538)
Away
53.9% (620)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Strome
Zacha
P1
51.6%
52.6%
P2
53.0%
54.8%
P3
54.3%
56.8%
OT
44.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
53.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.8%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 06:38 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 15:47 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 30, 2024 | OT | 02:06 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 12:34 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |