Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.2%). Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 53.4% vs Zacha 52.8% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 76.8%
Defensive zone
Zacha 67.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 52.7%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Strome
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Strome
Zacha
Last 6: Strome 3-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Strome
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Strome
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (968)
54.1% (534)
-1.5%
Power Play
56.9% (311)
56.0% (109)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
44.8% (96)
+17.7%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Strome is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Strome shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Strome
Zacha
Home
53.4% (653)
53.4% (406)
Away
53.9% (634)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Strome
Zacha
P1
49.3%
56.8%
P2
54.6%
53.6%
P3
56.7%
49.2%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 06:35 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:41 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 07:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |