Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.0% vs Thomas 51.7% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 92.5%
Defensive zone
Strome 55.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 63.4%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Strome
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Strome
Thomas
Last 5: Strome 4-1 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
0
Strome
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (856)
50.1% (615)
+6.1%
Power Play
66.4% (298)
62.2% (98)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
52.6% (114)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Strome is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (358).
Strome shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Strome
Thomas
Home
55.7% (627)
51.9% (374)
Away
62.2% (539)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Strome
Thomas
P1
61.6%
49.2%
P2
54.5%
55.3%
P3
60.4%
50.6%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
58.7%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 09:41 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |