Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 51.6%). Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.6% vs Thomas 51.6% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 25-15 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 75.8%
Defensive zone
Thomas 66.4%
Neutral zone
Thomas 52.1%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Strome
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
15
(40 meetings)
25
15
Strome
Thomas
Last 10: Strome 5-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
13
1
Strome
Thomas
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
4
8
Strome
Thomas
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
8
6
Strome
Thomas
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,337)
51.1% (5,350)
-1.0%
Power Play
58.4% (1,519)
55.8% (921)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
49.9% (691)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Strome is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,655).
Strome shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Home / Away
Strome
Thomas
Home
51.1% (3,968)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
52.2% (3,956)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Strome
Thomas
P1
50.4%
50.6%
P2
52.1%
52.9%
P3
52.3%
50.8%
OT
52.8%
59.2%
Final 5 min
52.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 09:41 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 17:23 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:23 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 16:59 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |