Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 53.4% vs Thomas 54.5% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 90.1%
Defensive zone
Thomas 74.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 56.5%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Strome
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Strome
Thomas
Last 7: Strome 2-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
4
Strome
Thomas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Strome
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (968)
55.3% (990)
-2.7%
Power Play
56.9% (311)
54.2% (190)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
52.5% (158)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Strome is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Strome shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Home / Away
Strome
Thomas
Home
53.4% (653)
55.1% (690)
Away
53.9% (634)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Strome
Thomas
P1
49.3%
55.5%
P2
54.6%
56.4%
P3
56.7%
51.5%
OT
62.5%
69.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 17:23 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:23 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |