Dylan Strome vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 53.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 75.2%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 83.3%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 62.0%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 83.3%
16.7%
83.3%
Strome
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Strome
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
4
Strome
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (968)
50.3% (479)
+2.3%
Power Play
56.9% (311)
50.0% (28)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
30.0% (50)
+32.5%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +32.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Strome is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Strome shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Strome
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.4% (653)
48.9% (270)
Away
53.9% (634)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Strome
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
49.3%
48.7%
P2
54.6%
50.0%
P3
56.7%
47.3%
OT
62.5%
36.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |