Dylan Strome vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 13-13 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 78.8%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 70.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.1%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Strome
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
13
(26 meetings)
13
13
Strome
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Strome 4-6 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
1
Strome
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
4
11
Strome
Nugent-Hopkins
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
5
1
Strome
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,337)
44.9% (8,756)
+5.2%
Power Play
58.4% (1,519)
50.7% (839)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
37.9% (879)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Strome is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Strome shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Strome
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.1% (3,968)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
52.2% (3,956)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Strome
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.4%
45.1%
P2
52.1%
43.9%
P3
52.3%
45.3%
OT
52.8%
43.5%
Final 5 min
52.3%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 08:24 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 19:34 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 19:21 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 02:09 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 09:47 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 09:35 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 15:42 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 15:25 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 1 | 01:47 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |