Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.3%). Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.9% vs Carrick 49.5% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 89.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 75.2%
Neutral zone
Strome 58.7%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Strome
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Strome
Carrick
Last 5: Strome 1-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
3
Strome
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (894)
49.2% (307)
-0.9%
Power Play
50.5% (182)
66.7% (6)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
48.2% (56)
+18.5%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Strome is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Strome shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Strome
Carrick
Home
46.4% (513)
50.3% (175)
Away
51.0% (569)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Strome
Carrick
P1
44.9%
41.0%
P2
50.8%
51.2%
P3
49.7%
55.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 08:32 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 16:22 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |