Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 52.2%). Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.6% vs Carrick 52.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 21-21 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 88.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 86.7%
Neutral zone
Carrick 54.4%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Strome
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
21
(42 meetings)
21
21
Strome
Carrick
Last 10: Strome 4-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
16
2
Strome
Carrick
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
16
Strome
Carrick
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
4
3
Strome
Carrick
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,337)
52.1% (2,513)
-2.0%
Power Play
58.4% (1,519)
61.3% (75)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
50.7% (430)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Strome is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,655).
Strome shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Strome
Carrick
Home
51.1% (3,968)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
52.2% (3,956)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Strome
Carrick
P1
50.4%
51.8%
P2
52.1%
52.2%
P3
52.3%
52.4%
Final 5 min
52.3%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 07:07 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 02:09 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 18:23 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 12, 2025 | 3 | 03:35 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 12, 2025 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 12, 2025 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:39 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:18 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 12:42 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |