Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.5%). Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 53.4% vs Steel 52.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 90.2%
Defensive zone
Steel 78.5%
Neutral zone
Steel 51.3%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Strome
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Strome
Steel
Last 7: Strome 5-2 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
1
Strome
Steel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
1
Strome
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (968)
56.9% (320)
-4.3%
Power Play
56.9% (311)
71.4% (7)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
37.0% (73)
+25.5%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Strome is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Strome shoots left. Steel is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Strome
Steel
Home
53.4% (653)
55.9% (202)
Away
53.9% (634)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Strome
Steel
P1
49.3%
55.5%
P2
54.6%
55.1%
P3
56.7%
50.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 14:53 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |