Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 51.0%). Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.6% vs Stamkos 51.0% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 19-7 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 72.7%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 71.0%
Neutral zone
Strome 50.7%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Strome
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
19
(26 meetings)
7
19
Strome
Stamkos
Last 10: Strome 1-9 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
5
4
Strome
Stamkos
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
14
Strome
Stamkos
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
1
Strome
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,337)
50.4% (9,799)
-0.3%
Power Play
58.4% (1,519)
55.1% (1,725)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
49.7% (825)
-4.1%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Strome is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,655).
Strome shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Strome
Stamkos
Home
51.1% (3,968)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
52.2% (3,956)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Strome
Stamkos
P1
50.4%
49.1%
P2
52.1%
52.7%
P3
52.3%
50.9%
OT
52.8%
54.3%
Final 5 min
52.3%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 09:24 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 03:09 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 12:17 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 08:56 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |