Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Strome wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.9% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 79.0%
Defensive zone
Strome 74.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 71.7%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Strome
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Strome
Stamkos
Last 7: Strome 1-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
5
Strome
Stamkos
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (894)
55.3% (628)
-7.0%
Power Play
50.5% (182)
55.1% (216)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
40.2% (87)
+26.5%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Strome is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Strome shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Strome
Stamkos
Home
46.4% (513)
55.5% (499)
Away
51.0% (569)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Strome
Stamkos
P1
44.9%
50.7%
P2
50.8%
53.8%
P3
49.7%
55.9%
OT
77.8%
87.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 12:17 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |