Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.6% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 86.3%
Defensive zone
Strome 67.0%
Neutral zone
Strome 67.0%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Strome
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Strome
Stamkos
Last 7: Strome 1-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Strome
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
4
Strome
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,002)
55.9% (499)
-5.3%
Power Play
59.9% (299)
56.3% (126)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
58.3% (12)
-0.4%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Strome is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (432).
Strome shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Strome
Stamkos
Home
51.9% (700)
55.3% (349)
Away
53.9% (620)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Strome
Stamkos
P1
51.6%
57.0%
P2
53.0%
59.2%
P3
54.3%
51.5%
OT
44.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
53.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 09:24 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 03:09 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |