Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 39.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 47.6% vs Stamkos 55.8% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 68.0%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 65.2%
Neutral zone
Strome 53.9%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Strome
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Strome
Stamkos
Last 6: Strome 3-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
1
Strome
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Strome
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (310)
56.5% (246)
-10.0%
Power Play
49.1% (110)
61.4% (101)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
53.6% (69)
-53.6%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +53.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Strome is 39.9% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Strome shoots left. Stamkos is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Strome
Stamkos
Home
46.3% (216)
54.7% (170)
Away
47.8% (205)
58.9% (246)
By Period
Strome
Stamkos
P1
48.5%
60.9%
P2
50.7%
59.2%
P3
41.5%
50.4%
OT
40.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
45.0%
67.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
47.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 12:04 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 14:40 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |