Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.1% vs Seguin 55.4% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 68.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 85.3%
Neutral zone
Seguin 62.1%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Strome
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Strome
Seguin
Last 5: Strome 4-1 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
1
Strome
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (684)
56.5% (712)
-5.9%
Power Play
58.9% (192)
59.7% (67)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
44.9% (49)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Strome is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (299).
Strome shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Strome
Seguin
Home
51.3% (448)
58.5% (402)
Away
53.4% (431)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Strome
Seguin
P1
51.4%
58.4%
P2
54.6%
54.7%
P3
50.7%
54.1%
OT
66.7%
72.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 12:30 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 11:34 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 11:24 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |