Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.9% vs Seguin 54.2% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 50.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 83.9%
Neutral zone
Seguin 63.6%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Strome
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Strome
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
1
Strome
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (894)
55.0% (713)
-6.7%
Power Play
50.5% (182)
56.7% (104)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
47.2% (53)
+19.5%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Strome is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Strome shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Strome
Seguin
Home
46.4% (513)
56.2% (443)
Away
51.0% (569)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Strome
Seguin
P1
44.9%
54.2%
P2
50.8%
52.9%
P3
49.7%
57.1%
OT
77.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 08:44 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |