Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.7%). Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.9% vs Gourde 49.7% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 60.6%
Defensive zone
Gourde 79.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 58.1%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Strome
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Strome
Gourde
Last 6: Strome 4-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
0
Strome
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Strome
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (894)
49.1% (847)
-0.8%
Power Play
50.5% (182)
79.5% (44)
-29.0%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
39.5% (81)
+27.2%
On power play, Gourde has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Strome is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Strome shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Strome
Gourde
Home
46.4% (513)
50.1% (491)
Away
51.0% (569)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Strome
Gourde
P1
44.9%
54.7%
P2
50.8%
45.0%
P3
49.7%
49.4%
OT
77.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:28 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |